Boulder County Weekly Activity Index

# New Price Drops # U/C # Sold Median $ of Sold
30-Apr 166 142 125 81 $ 317,900
7-May 182 170 141 90 $ 294,700
14-May 211 170 126 46 $ 301,950
21-May 220 169 140 92 $ 275,950
28-May 167 165 137 66 $ 272,450
4-Jun 213 204 131 141 $ 324,500
11-Jun 210 198 155 74 $ 296,400
18-Jun 222 191 125 94 $ 339,950
25-Jun 178 223 131 100 $ 339,900
2-Jul 163 158 132 150 $ 299,000
9-Jul 157 181 102 81 $ 332,900
16-Jul 187 197 121 93 $ 289,900
23-Jul 166 211 95 92 $ 334,450
30-Jul 149 189 109 110 $ 278,950
6-Aug 155 197 106 144 $ 312,450

 

The market is still chugging along in Boulder County.  We continue to improve upon large early year declines in sales.  We are seeing fewer new listings coming on the market and those sellers who are really serious about getting their homes sold this year are reducing price.  The surge in the number of sales this past week was due to the end of the month.

Boulder County Weekly Activity Index

# New Price Drops # U/C # Sold Median $ of Sold
30-Apr 166 142 125 81 $ 317,900
7-May 182 170 141 90 $ 294,700
14-May 211 170 126 46 $ 301,950
21-May 220 169 140 92 $ 275,950
28-May 167 165 137 66 $ 272,450
4-Jun 213 204 131 141 $ 324,500
11-Jun 210 198 155 74 $ 296,400
18-Jun 222 191 125 94 $ 339,950
25-Jun 178 223 131 100 $ 339,900
2-Jul 163 158 132 150 $ 299,000
9-Jul 157 181 102 81 $ 332,900
16-Jul 187 197 121 93 $ 289,900
23-Jul 166 211 95 92 $ 334,450
30-Jul 149 189 109 110 $ 278,950

 

The usual pattern for Boulder real estate this time of year is to see a bit of a late summer lull until school starts in late August.  Fortunately, the market is still kicking and showing signs of life!  The  number of new listings is down to its lowest level since I began keeping track in late April but the number of homes that went under contract or sold last week showed an increase from the week before.  The stock market and interest rates seem to be holding steady with no major swings lately.  Stability is good.

Boulder County 2nd Quarter Sales, a Comparison

I just prepared a table which shows the 2nd quarter sales broken down into price ranges and compared with 2nd quarter 2008.  Overall, the number of sales was down 26% across all price ranges and property types.  The yellow box shows all sales.  The green box shows only sales of single family homes which were down 27%.  The blue box shows attached dwellings whose sales were down 22%.

Combined
2008 2009 Change
<$499K 1070 842 -21%
$500 – $749K 198 112 -43%
$750K – $999k 64 34 -47%
$1MM – $1.249MM 12 11 -8%
$1.25MM – $1.5MM 12 6 -50%
>$1.5MM 19 17 -11%
Total 1375 1022 -26%
Single Family
2008 2009 Change
<$499K 679 540 -20%
$500 – $749K 183 97 -47%
$750k – $999K 58 33 -43%
$1MM – $1249MM 10 10 0%
$1.25MM- $1.449MM 12 4 -67%
$>1.5MM 18 16 -11%
Total 960 700 -27%
Condos
2008 2009 Change
<$499K 391 302 -23%
$500 – $749K 15 15 0%
$750K – $999k 6 1 -83%
$1MM – $1.249MM 2 1 -50%
$1.25MM – $1.499MM 0 2 200%
>$1.5MM 1 1 0%
Total 415 322 -22%

23% of Homes Under $1 million Under Contract!

One good measure to gauge the strength of the real estate market is to see how many of the offered houses are under contract.  Not only does this give a number which is comparable across time it also gives a good indication about what sales will be in the near future.  A leading indicator of sorts.

The Mason-Dixon line of real estate is 15% of the current market under contract.  That is of each 100 houses currently on the market 15 of those have a buyer.  Below 15% and the market is considered slow and above that number the situation gets progressively better.

Right now, if you look at all areas and price ranges, Boulder County has an under contract ratio of 13%, a slow market by the standards we just discussed.  But let’s look at this a bit more closely.  I have been telling you for months that the real estate market in Boulder County is drawn differently across different price ranges.  The lower price ranges doing better and the higher price ranges doing worse.  Under $1 million, 23% of all homes offered for sale are under contract.  This is a strong market.  The charts below break this ratio into different areas (both single family and attached dwellings) and price ranges.

Boulder County Weekly Real Estate Activity Index

# New Price Drops # U/C # Sold Median $ of Sold
30-Apr 166 142 125 81 $ 317,900
7-May 182 170 141 90 $ 294,700
14-May 211 170 126 46 $ 301,950
21-May 220 169 140 92 $ 275,950
28-May 167 165 137 66 $ 272,450
4-Jun 213 204 131 141 $ 324,500
11-Jun 210 198 155 74 $ 296,400
18-Jun 222 191 125 94 $ 339,950
25-Jun 178 223 131 100 $ 339,900
2-Jul 163 158 132 150 $ 299,000
9-Jul 157 181 102 81 $ 332,900
16-Jul 187 197 121 93 $ 289,900

 

The activity over this past week is encouraging.  Increases in closings, and properties that went under contract is a good sign.  Many years we reach the end of June and the market activity dries up quickly.  The week over week increases are not huge but it is important to keep going strong for another month or two.

Boulder County – Weekly Activity Index

# New Price Drops # U/C # Sold Median $ of Sold
30-Apr 166 142 125 81 $ 317,900
7-May 182 170 141 90 $ 294,700
14-May 211 170 126 46 $ 301,950
21-May 220 169 140 92 $ 275,950
28-May 167 165 137 66 $ 272,450
4-Jun 213 204 131 141 $ 324,500
11-Jun 210 198 155 74 $ 296,400
18-Jun 222 191 125 94 $ 339,950
25-Jun 178 223 131 100 $ 339,900
2-Jul 163 158 132 150 $ 299,000
9-Jul 157 181 102 81 $ 332,900

 

You know when you are driving down the highway at full speed but your gas light has been on for awhile and you begin to regret passing the last gas station?  You are still moving along with no outside indications of slowing down but you have a growing feeling that something needs to come up to keep you rolling along, and fast.  So it is with the local real estate market, at least from my seat.  Markets are all about momentum and I have the vague feeling that we have lost some of the momentum we have been enjoying over the past two months.  It may be just a  passing feeling, a bit of a 4th of July weekend slowdown, but I’m not so sure.

The chart above shows weekly market activity for the month in Boulder County since the end of April.  This past week we saw the fewest number of properties go under contract in the past 11 weeks.  Showings are also lagging.  My advice to sellers is to take advantage of the market now by pricing your homes to sell, before you know it, the summer selling season will be over.