Boulder County Weekly Activity Index

The table below details the real estate market activity in Boulder Colorado.  I created this weekly activity index at the end of April and have been tracking and commenting on this and other market data on this blog since that time.  Basically what we have been seeing in the market is pretty steady activity.  We are down from the past few years but we are holding up okay.  Sales of all residential property in Boulder County is down roughly 23% through the end of September.

What is interesting about this index is that you can easily compare the number of homes that go under contract to those that actually close.  I’ve found through my research that 24% of homes that go under contract don’t make it to the closing table.  Another interesting statistic is the median price of the homes which have closed.  The median price of sales has consistently been under $300,000.  The average price of sales is also down so far this year.  There are two reasons causing the lower sales prices; low interest rates for loans less than $417,000 and the first time homebuyer credit.

October Snow

We had an big early snowfall this week.  Nearly 2 feet blanketed the area, knocking down tree limbs, closing schools and hastening the retreat of fall.  I say early because usually we get our first significant snowfall on halloween night.  I know because I have been in the trick-or-treat chaperone business for the past twelve years.  🙂

$8,000 Homebuyer Tax Credit On Its Way to Extension

We have just received word that the Senate has voted to approve a bill this week that would extend the $8,000 tax credit through June of 2010. The “Dodd-Lieberman-Isakson” amendment would also extend the credit to NON FIRST TIME buyers as well. The non first timers will get $6,500 but still that is nothing to sneeze at. I will send out more information as it becomes available. There is a catch on the dateline. The buyer has to have a signed contract by the end of April 2010 and then they have to close by the end of June 2010.

This is a bold move to stimulate home sales through the traditional slower winter months and I for one welcome and applaud it.  I will keep you upated as the bill moves towards becoming law.

Weekly Activity Index for Boulder Colorado Real Estate

Activity in the market has been moderate.  The number of listings that are going under contract in Boulder County continue near the 100 unit mark.  There have been fewer sales lately, but that is to be expected given the time of year.  We are approximately one month away from the expiration of the First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit so it will be interesting what that does to the market going forward.

Boulder County Real Estate – Weekly Activity Index – 24% of Contracts are Falling Through

# New Price Drops # U/C # Sold Median $ of Sold
30-Apr 166 142 125 81 $       317,900
7-May 182 170 141 90 $       294,700
14-May 211 170 126 46 $       301,950
21-May 220 169 140 92 $       275,950
28-May 167 165 137 66 $       272,450
4-Jun 213 204 131 141 $       324,500
11-Jun 210 198 155 74 $       296,400
18-Jun 222 191 125 94 $       339,950
25-Jun 178 223 131 100 $       339,900
2-Jul 163 158 132 150 $       299,000
9-Jul 157 181 102 81 $       332,900
16-Jul 187 197 121 93 $       289,900
23-Jul 166 211 95 92 $       334,450
30-Jul 149 189 109 110 $       278,950
6-Aug 155 197 106 144 $       312,450
13-Aug 161 202 105 84 $       319,975
20-Aug 178 187 120 79 $       345,000
27-Aug 156 163 113 88 $       317,475
3-Sep 138 173 112 103 $       285,000
10-Sep 112 139 100 63 $       284,900
17-Sep 163 159 114 63 $       317,000
24-Sep 143 152 112 74 $       314,500
1-Oct 125 160 87 128 $       259,900
8-Oct 136 173 116 71 $       300,000
15-Oct 129 170 102 63 $       352,750

 

Here we are midway through October and activity in the market still continues to surprise me.   The number of properties that go under contract each week has been fairly consistent in the low 100’s over the past few months.  One thing I have been noticing is the high number of homes that fall out of contract.  Since late April an average of 118 properties go under contract each week at the same time an average of 90 properties close each week.

What happens to the 28 properties which go under contract but never close? There are any number of hurdles in a real estate transaction but they include; buyers remorse, inspection issues, appraisal issues and loan issues.  Each transaction has its own challenges but from my chair it seems more difficult than ever to get from contract to closing.  In fact, since April nearly 24% of all contracts have not made it to the closing table.

Picture a real estate transaction as a big rubber band held at one end by the seller and at the other end by the buyer.  A normal transaction has a little give and take but the rubber band has enough slack on one side or the other to keep the band from snapping.  Right now, it seems like buyers and sellers need to stretch their side of the band to the max in order to just get the initial contract together.  If something comes up on the inspection, there is no more elasticity when the buyer wants a bit more and the band snaps.  It seems like each transaction is formed on the precipice and it is a high wire act to get to closing.  People definitely need a professional on their corner to help stretch it to the closing table.  I’m here for you.