Boulder County 2nd Quarter Sales, a Comparison

I just prepared a table which shows the 2nd quarter sales broken down into price ranges and compared with 2nd quarter 2008.  Overall, the number of sales was down 26% across all price ranges and property types.  The yellow box shows all sales.  The green box shows only sales of single family homes which were down 27%.  The blue box shows attached dwellings whose sales were down 22%.

Combined
2008 2009 Change
<$499K 1070 842 -21%
$500 – $749K 198 112 -43%
$750K – $999k 64 34 -47%
$1MM – $1.249MM 12 11 -8%
$1.25MM – $1.5MM 12 6 -50%
>$1.5MM 19 17 -11%
Total 1375 1022 -26%
Single Family
2008 2009 Change
<$499K 679 540 -20%
$500 – $749K 183 97 -47%
$750k – $999K 58 33 -43%
$1MM – $1249MM 10 10 0%
$1.25MM- $1.449MM 12 4 -67%
$>1.5MM 18 16 -11%
Total 960 700 -27%
Condos
2008 2009 Change
<$499K 391 302 -23%
$500 – $749K 15 15 0%
$750K – $999k 6 1 -83%
$1MM – $1.249MM 2 1 -50%
$1.25MM – $1.499MM 0 2 200%
>$1.5MM 1 1 0%
Total 415 322 -22%

23% of Homes Under $1 million Under Contract!

One good measure to gauge the strength of the real estate market is to see how many of the offered houses are under contract.  Not only does this give a number which is comparable across time it also gives a good indication about what sales will be in the near future.  A leading indicator of sorts.

The Mason-Dixon line of real estate is 15% of the current market under contract.  That is of each 100 houses currently on the market 15 of those have a buyer.  Below 15% and the market is considered slow and above that number the situation gets progressively better.

Right now, if you look at all areas and price ranges, Boulder County has an under contract ratio of 13%, a slow market by the standards we just discussed.  But let’s look at this a bit more closely.  I have been telling you for months that the real estate market in Boulder County is drawn differently across different price ranges.  The lower price ranges doing better and the higher price ranges doing worse.  Under $1 million, 23% of all homes offered for sale are under contract.  This is a strong market.  The charts below break this ratio into different areas (both single family and attached dwellings) and price ranges.

Boulder County Weekly Real Estate Activity Index

# New Price Drops # U/C # Sold Median $ of Sold
30-Apr 166 142 125 81 $ 317,900
7-May 182 170 141 90 $ 294,700
14-May 211 170 126 46 $ 301,950
21-May 220 169 140 92 $ 275,950
28-May 167 165 137 66 $ 272,450
4-Jun 213 204 131 141 $ 324,500
11-Jun 210 198 155 74 $ 296,400
18-Jun 222 191 125 94 $ 339,950
25-Jun 178 223 131 100 $ 339,900
2-Jul 163 158 132 150 $ 299,000
9-Jul 157 181 102 81 $ 332,900
16-Jul 187 197 121 93 $ 289,900

 

The activity over this past week is encouraging.  Increases in closings, and properties that went under contract is a good sign.  Many years we reach the end of June and the market activity dries up quickly.  The week over week increases are not huge but it is important to keep going strong for another month or two.

Article in The Daily Camera

I was interviewed yesterday for a story on the Boulder area real estate market that appeared in the Boulder Daily Camera this morning.  The photo that accompanies the story shows me from the back (some would say this is best) pointing out a feature to my client.  To view the article click here.  For more detailed market information contact me directly.

Contracts Written vs. Contracts Accepted

We have seen some good buyer activity lately but I’m noticing a trend regarding buyer offers.  In the past the process was:

  1. View a handful of houses
  2. Pick out one you love
  3. Buy it by making a reasonable offer.

Today the process has changed a bit.  Home buying circa 2009 usually goes something like this:

  1. View a bunch of homes
  2. Pick out one you love (and a backup or two just in case the sellers are looking to get market value)
  3. Insult the sellers by making a low-ball offer.
  4. Negotiate until the seller is hobbled or if seller won’t succumb to the pressure move on to house number two and go back to step 3.

What is getting lost in the mix is that the goal is to find a place to live.  A place to connect to.  A place to make memories with family and friends.  The home buying experience is so much richer when you end up with the house you want.  Not just the house where you felt like you got a “below market” price.

I wonder about our number of offers written compared to the number of offers accepted.  I bet it is at an all-time low.  Enjoy the pretty picture below and take a deep breath…