Boulder Real Estate Statistics February 2013

The attached slideshow shows all of the details for the past month but some of the highlights of the Boulder County real estate market right now are:

  • Dropping inventory
  • High buyer demand
  • Multiple offers
  • High under contract percentage

When there is low inventory and high demand the result is always high competition for a scarce resource. What we have seen is multiple offers for well priced homes and lots of showings but no offers on obviously overpriced homes.

Home prices are rising in Boulder County

Home prices are rising in Boulder County

As I outlined in a previous post the real estate market is really crazy right now. Due to the low inventory and some upward movement in interest rates buyers are swarming new listings as they come available. I am working closely with a number of buyers and as they see listings, I come prepared to give neighborhood sold data. This way if there is interest we can immediately assess whether the home is fairly priced on not. When you look at just one home at a time (quick while it’s still available!) it is hard to get a sense of how a particular home compares with other similar homes.

I have noticed that the market is speaking very quickly at the moment.  If it is well priced it sells right away. If it has been on the market over a week it’s over priced. It is a bit of a game of chicken because I have noticed that some homes which seem to be overpriced are still going very quickly. These sales are then causing the next seller to list their home before. This is the perfect storm for price appreciation.  And we are seeing it throughout Boulder County but especially in Boulder.

The FHFA  recently released their home price index showing home appreciation throughout the country. Boulder County is one of 302 metropolitan statistical areas (MSA) that are tracked using loan data and same house sales.  For the one year period ending December 31st, values in the United States, on average increased by 5.45%.  In Colorado appreciation was measured at 10.69% for the same time frame and Boulder County’s came it at 2.08%.  This ranked us 59th highest out of the 302 MSA’s. The chart below shows the US average and Boulder County’s appreciation over the past four years

The top areas for home appreciation over the past year were:

Bismarck, North Dakota – 13.41% (Fracking)

Phoenix, Arizona – 12.05% (bubble recovery)

Boise, ID – 8.27%

San Jose, CA – 6.86%

The Frenzied Boulder Real Estate Market

The Frenzied Boulder Real Estate Market

To say the real estate market in Boulder is busy is an understatement. The market is red hot! New listings are getting as much attention as piece of cheese at a mouse convention.

Here is some hard evidence which illustrates what is going on in the market. The list below shows the new listings that have come on the market in the city of Boulder priced under $600,000 over the past two weeks. As you can see there have been 16 new listings. Of those, 11 are already under contract.  Of the five that are not under contract; two are brand new listings today, one was listed yesterday, one was listed four days ago and the worn listing of the bunch has been listed a whopping eight days!  On the chart below A/B under the status column signifies that is under contract but taking backup offers.

After a long cycle where buyers have been in the drivers seat the market has clearly shifted to a sellers market. Let me give you a few examples of seller confidence as seen in the listings above.

875 38th – This home is a nicely maintained and modestly updated home in the starter home neighborhood of Baseline Subdivision. Over the past year the average price per square foot in this neighborhood has been $312.  The price per square foot on this listing came to $380.  The previous high over the past year on a per square foot price was $362.  This home was listed on February 21st and it was marked as under contract by February 25th with what the listing agent says is a “close to full price offer”.

804 Brooklawn – This is basically a vacant lot listing. The house probably won’t be worth saving since it sits on a very large lot. The house across the street is under contract and is listed for just under $1.1 million. This home closed on February 19th for $430,000.  It came back on the market four days ago for $550,000.

3255 Emerson – This house is brand new on the market today. They know the market is hot. They have announced in the listing that all offers will be presented Sunday at 4 pm.  I wonder how many they will get?

We put a house on the market last week and within four days we had four offers.  The property went for well above list price and we have a backup offer.

What is causing this dramatic sellers market? Buyers are out in force ready to buy and the supply of homes is no where near satisfying the demand. At the end of January there were 1171 properties on the market in all of Boulder County which didn’t have a contract on it. As we progress toward spring you would expect more properties to be available but the opposite is true. As of this morning, exactly four weeks later there are 900 single family residential listings on the market available.

How long this will last will be anyone’s guess, but for the moment we have extreme competition for the best new listings and that competition is causing prices to rise.

556 Wild Turkey Trail – 34 acre building site – Sold

556 Wild Turkey Trail – 34 acre building site – Sold

556 Wild Turkey Trail – $279,000

This listing is for a sunny, scenic, secluded 34.83 acres with foothills views sweeping out to southeastern horizon. Easy year-round access 20 min. to Boulder. Build your private mountain retreat here. This property includes two separately deeded building lots which could be separated, right now they are combined for tax purposes. There are numerous flat building sites in meadows sloping down to Fourmile Ck. w/ private area along musical creek. Electric on property; good well; new septic. Discounted price for land re-vegetating after fire.

 

Wild Turkey Plat Map View the plat map. The property includes both Lot 123 and The Lucky Hit Strike.

  

Winter in Boulder

Winter in Boulder

It has been an especially dry and warm winter this year. We have had a few small snowfalls but nothing much to speak about. This weekend the predictions of snow finally came to pass.  The best part of a Colorado winter is the bright blue sky and the sunshine that follows the snow. This is a shot from the base of Chautauqua Park.  Notice the sled tracks on the left side.